Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008207 0.009248 0.010388 0.011734 0.013282 0.015013 0.017101
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006393 0.007755 0.009380 0.011472 0.014116 0.017369 0.021712
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005589 0.007119 0.009049 0.011689 0.015245 0.019930 0.026663
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004938 0.006535 0.008642 0.011666 0.015961 0.021944 0.031092
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004283 0.005846 0.007983 0.011171 0.015901 0.022806 0.033931
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003890 0.005461 0.007681 0.011115 0.016419 0.024514 0.038229
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003725 0.005375 0.007783 0.011644 0.017855 0.027766 0.045443
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003349 0.004937 0.007314 0.011235 0.017749 0.028527 0.048568
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003054 0.004592 0.006950 0.010945 0.017786 0.029500 0.052177
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002863 0.004390 0.006786 0.010956 0.018319 0.031374 0.057710
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002788 0.004364 0.006900 0.011438 0.019720 0.034964 0.067131
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002612 0.004158 0.006697 0.011346 0.020065 0.036626 0.072926
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002470 0.004005 0.006580 0.011415 0.020760 0.039133 0.081143
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002290 0.003773 0.006309 0.011179 0.020845 0.040453 0.087042
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002198 0.003683 0.006279 0.011388 0.021829 0.043757 0.098160
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002080 0.003540 0.006138 0.011367 0.022337 0.046110 0.107463
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001910 0.003291 0.005783 0.010886 0.021820 0.046114 0.110837
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001812 0.003164 0.005647 0.010831 0.022212 0.048248 0.120243
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001791 0.003179 0.005780 0.011345 0.023926 0.053753 0.140142
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001664 0.002986 0.005496 0.010948 0.023514 0.054014 0.145100
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001561 0.002831 0.005274 0.010666 0.023339 0.054845 0.151960
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001497 0.002748 0.005189 0.010677 0.023864 0.057566 0.165319
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001483 0.002763 0.005305 0.011145 0.025568 0.063704 0.191314